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Texas Economy Ticks Down One Point in August, Reports Comerica Bank's Texas Economic Activity Index

DALLAS, Oct. 27, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Comerica Bank's Texas Economic Activity Index ticked down in August, declining one point to a level of 98. August's reading is 15 points, or 18 percent, above the index cyclical low of 83.  Year-to-date the index has averaged 96, six points above the average for all of 2010.  

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"Strong growth in the Texas economy in the first half of 2011 moderated by late summer, but the state remains a bright spot in the somewhat patchy U.S. economy," said Robert Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. "Crude oil prices back up to near $90 a barrel add stability to the state's energy sector, and will fuel economic growth in the final quarter of 2011. The state will likely pass its pre-recession employment peak by early 2012 and continue to add jobs through next year. However, Texas, like all other states, will feel some drag from a euro-zone recession, but that is not expected to derail the state's economic recovery."

The Texas Economic Activity Index equally weighs eight, seasonally-adjusted coincident indicators of real economic activity.  The eight indicators reflect activity in the manufacturing, travel, and trade sectors, as well as job growth and consumer outlays.  The Index levels represent a three-month moving average, used to smooth monthly volatility.  The Index is benchmarked so that 2008 equals 100.  A complete, revised historical series dating to 1997 is available upon request.

Comerica Bank is the commercial banking subsidiary of Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA), the largest U.S. banking company headquartered in Texas, and is strategically aligned by three business segments: The Business Bank, The Retail Bank, and Wealth Management. Comerica focuses on relationships, and helping people and businesses be successful. In addition to Dallas, Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Kerrville, Texas, Comerica Bank locations can be found in Arizona, California, Florida and Michigan, with select businesses operating in several other states, as well as in Canada and Mexico.

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SOURCE Comerica Bank